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Michael Bigger is an investor and a trader who has been involved with trading technologies for more than twenty years. In 1992, Michael joined Citibank as head trader of U.S. single-stock derivatives, where he managed a $5 billion portfolio of equity derivatives. In 1998, he joined D.E. Shaw & Co., L.P. to trade the U.S. equity derivatives portfolio. (More)

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In Praise of Speculation

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    Friday
    Jul222011

    Thoughts on Bracket Asymmetry

    • bracket asymmetry does not change the expected reward of a trade, it only changes the frequency of your wins & losses. In a random process a symmetric bracket will produce 50/50 loss/win with equal amounts. Asymmetric bracket 80/20 will give you wins 80% of the time and losses the other 20%, but your average loss will be 4x larger than your average win, giving you the same expected reward of 0.
    • At this moment I keep brackets symmetric to reduce complexity.
    • bracket width is very important: set it too low and you only get 'market noise', set it too high and neither level will be hit. I generally use a vol estimation to adjust for bracket width.
    Written by Jev Kuznetsov. Jev is a physicist who trades and develops trading algorithms.
     

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